Economic development of the Siberian Federal District regions in modern conditions
Abstract
The article investigates the key factors of destabilization and conditions for the development of the economy of the regions of the Siberian Federal District based on annual data for the period 2014–2022. An analysis of the main directions, the level and the rate of changes in economic indicators of the regions is carried out in the study. The influence of demography and migration, sanctions restrictions and investments, government support measures and shifts in the scope of their application to stabilize the economic development of the regions of the Siberian Federal District is considered. The authors highlight them as the most important factors in the development of regions in modern conditions. Seven indicators of the level of development and three indicators of the dynamics of regional development are proposed. Based on them, clusters were determined by the level and dynamics of regional development using the k-means method. The change in the quality and composition of clusters over the analyzed period is shown. The study revealed the specificity of the crises of recent years, showed common specific features and differences in the passage of crisis periods by regions, depending on their industry specialization and the availability of investments. In general, the pace of development of industrialized regions turned out to be less than that of moderately and underdeveloped regions. The results obtained can be useful to regional authorities in assessing causes of the current state and forecasting target indicators for the economic development of territories.
About the Authors
V. V. KarpovRussian Federation
Valery V. Karpov – Doctor of Economics, Professor, Director
Omsk
A. A. Korableva
Russian Federation
Anna A. Korableva – Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Head of the Sector of Methods for Researching Regional Development Problems of the Omsk Scientific Center of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Associate Professor of the Department of Mathematical Methods and Information Technologies in Economics of the Omsk State Technical University
Omsk
A. G. Breusova
Russian Federation
Anna G. Breusova – Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Regional Economics and Human Resource Management of the Dostoevsky Omsk State University, researcher in the Sector of Methods for Studying Problems of Regional Development of the Omsk Scientific Center of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Omsk
References
1. Kuleshov V.V., Seliverstov V.E. Regions of Siberia in the new geopolitical and economic situation and in the transforming system of Eurasian interactions // Journal of the Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences. 2023. Vol. 16, No. 9. Pp. 1488–1496.
2. Kazantsev S.V. Assessing the Impact of the economic recession and anti-Russian sanctions on the regions of the Russian Federation // ECO. 2016. No. 5 (503). Pp. 55–70.
3. Zubarevich N.V. Regions of Russia in new economic conditions // Journal of the New Economic Association. 2022. No. 3 (55). Pp. 226–234. doi:10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-15.
4. Karpov V.V., Babichev M.A. Selected Issues of Interregional migration of Siberian regions: the example of the Omsk region // Russian Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities. 2023. No. 2. Pp. 208–217. doi:10.57015/issn1998-5320.2023.17.2.21.
5. Report on the state of the business climate in Russia / Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs. Moscow, 2023. 120 p.
6. Abdulkadyrov A.S. Seven Years Later: a retrospective analysis of the impact of sanctions on sectors of the Russian national economy // Industrial Economy. 2021. Vol. 1, No. 2. Pp. 29–33. doi:10.47576/2712-7559-2021-2-1-29.
7. Gegechkori I.M. Economic sanctions against the Russian Federation and foreign economic security: challenges and threats // Audit statements. 2022. No. 1. Pp. 97–100. doi:10.24412/1727-8058-2022-1- 97-100.
8. Appendix to the collection "Investments in Russia. 2023» / Rosstat. Moscow, 2023. URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/Pril_Invest_2023.xlsx (date of access: 22.03.2024).
9. On approval of the state program of the Russian Federation "Development of industry and increasing its competitiveness" : decree of the Government of the Russian Federation dated 15.04.2014 No. 328 (with amendments and additions). URL: https://base.garant.ru/70643464 (date of access: 22.04.2024).
10. Appendix to the collection "Regions of Russia. Socio-economic indicators" / Rosstat. Moscow, 2023. URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru/folder/210/document/47652 (date of access: 29.05.2024).
11. Istomina N.A., Letov P.I. Monitoring the financing of national projects in the regions of the Ural and Siberian federal districts // Siberian Financial School. 2023. No. 2. Pp. 24–31. doi:10.34020/1993-4386-2023-2-24-31.
12. Russian Economy in 2022. Trends and Prospects : issue 44 / [under the scientific editorship of A.L. Kudrin, V.A. Mau, A.D. Radygin, S.G. Sinelnikov-Murylev] ; E.T. Gaidar Institute of Economic Policy. Moscow : Publishing house of the Gaidar Institute, 2023. 556 p.
13. Gaur A., Settles A., Väätänen J. Do economic sanctions work? Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict // Journal of Management Studies. 2023. No. 60 (6). Pp. 1391–1414. doi:10.1111/joms.12933.
Review
For citations:
Karpov V.V., Korableva A.A., Breusova A.G. Economic development of the Siberian Federal District regions in modern conditions. Vestnik of Samara State University of Economics. 2024;(12):42-55. (In Russ.)